TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a7f…5dce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$17.63
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.98
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.4%+$7.22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$92.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.4%+$35.81
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54.76
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+80.2%+$56.09
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.1%+$16.57
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.2%+$6.75
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.9%+$34.08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.2%+$4.45
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.95
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$7.85
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.85
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.81
Brazil leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.83
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$41.48
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$27.1
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.32
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.57
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.57
Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$237.74
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.84
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+124.2%+$88.61
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$61.6
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$105.74
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.6%+$33.26
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.26
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.49
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$5.94
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.61
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+97%+$27.22
Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+45.2%+$9.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+207.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.8%+$11.22
SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+387.9%+$88.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+59%+$21.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.