La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6966e039774cd76936087d47cc90cc663bf88caeeb0675bddfa79789403a578d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 21c | 2,986$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,426$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 1,786$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.93 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 41c | 1,287$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.43 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 817.32$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Under | 63c | 792.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 37c | 747.41$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Over | 48c | 696.11$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 468.09$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 80c | 450.27$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 21c | 291.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 30c | 252.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 218.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Under | 58c | 206$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 117.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 18c | 112.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 45c | 97.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 33c | 94.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 85.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 52.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 34c | 42.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 79c | 31.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.