TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Real Oviedoof Athletic Club, Real Oviedo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,719 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Athletic Club18c7,007$1,288 inLost-$1,287.790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Athletic Club20c2,339$477 inLost-$476.973925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Oviedo80c1,749$1,398 inWon+$350.942,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Athletic Club17c1,551$264 inLost-$263.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Athletic Club18c1,500$270 inLost-$27038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Athletic Club15c700$105 inLost-$1054742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Athletic Club17c645$110 inLost-$109.658457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Athletic Club17c610$104 inLost-$103.77030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Athletic Club4c555.55$20 inLost-$205855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletic Club16c170$28 inLost-$27.5428446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb26f…ebf7backed Athletic Club21c165.83$35 inLost-$34.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Athletic Club18c138.89$25 inLost-$2516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Athletic Club18c100.09$18 inLost-$1810335%36 W · 67 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x575d…4326backed Athletic Club21c95.24$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Athletic Club19c77.03$14 inLost-$14.441323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Athletic Club17c64.71$11 inLost-$1120441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.