TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c11,422$6,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,706.094,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c9,999$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,029.2530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Under62c4,664$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over52c2,817$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.472846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c2,508$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.691,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over29c2,370$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.71070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+74.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under50c1,798$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.671118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over37c1,622$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under61c1,077$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6573847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6109052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c977.57$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.723,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c884.92$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.011,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over37c856.47$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.858229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over37c747.53$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2912650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8076…aecabacked Under61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c650$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over59c649.98$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.493764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under77c587.81$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.325145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under76c480$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under60c444.44$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.912,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under54c425.77$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.912955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under61c369.43$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.351353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over39c323.53$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Over40c268.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over39c243.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.596642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over50c238.59$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.594942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0126…4047backed Over39c223.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over41c209$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3313249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over24c208$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15834050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12810233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c186.34$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.261,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over57c175.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa05d…e9a8backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Under75c157.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over41c146.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.68236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over41c127.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Under51c119.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.057855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under62c112.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5666…f029backed Under62c105.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf777…b2a8backed Over41c100.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6062744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5919344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over35c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.59545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed Under56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over40c82.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under68c72.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over28c71.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.445855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under54c71.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over38c63.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under73c57.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.712969%20 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06ce…c202backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+126.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7023…b538backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under61c49.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4580…94f8backed Over40c49.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c44.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fa…908ebacked Under63c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Over41c40.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under59c39.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.614044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over58c37.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.933360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7a…af16backed Over59c37.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61a…fc78backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4cc…06e8backed Under62c34.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Over32c33.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f6e…4f71backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…7432backed Over57c32.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…9c69backed Under60c32.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59c3…20c8backed Over41c30.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.714259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x067a…f9febacked Under61c29.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under61c29.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.757252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f1…d04cbacked Over41c28.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over57c28.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d5…c785backed Over41c27.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb314…9459backed Under60c26.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc173…ba9cbacked Under61c26.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f99…e345backed Over40c25.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over54c25.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.516752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.