La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee5241143cb4b1592da64096bdaa24754160dc4ac64a15806ba72ad48599892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,524$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 46c | 1,240$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 54c | 1,236$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 47c | 619.53$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.93 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Yes | 39c | 502.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 278.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…ed8fbacked Yes | 61c | 247.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 50c | 208.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 11c | 162.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 126.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked No | 59c | 115.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 108.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 49c | 102.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…bad8backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 66.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 62.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…b190backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca2…77febacked Yes | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Yes | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 51c | 31.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 28.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…737cbacked Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…1c98backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…00d9backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.