TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfabf…231c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.64
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.78
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$103.72
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.63
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$95.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.81
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$323.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+103.8%+$72.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$44.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$32.16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.73
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.12
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$174.22
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.8%+$57.59
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+168.7%+$316.27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$109.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90.37
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+251%+$250.99
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$122.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+1,150%+$920
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$116.13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$156.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.2%+$248.19
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$89.16
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$270.52
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$95.5
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65.72
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.6%+$151.67
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$67.86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$99.8
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$32.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.35
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.22
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.78
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.13
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$258.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$510.81
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$52.13
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Vinicius Oliveira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100.44
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Daniil Donchenko win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.52
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Moura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Gafurov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Norris?backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+90.5%+$723.95
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.49
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.88
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.