Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7b7e1ca8ed84bd5431367dff74c44c9eb9b92739b6e25272b17d73fed5545d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $500,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 86,969$41,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,848.26 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,299.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 63,205$32,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,970.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 52,067$26,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,512.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 44,999$23,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,149.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 34,141$16,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,387.58 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 23,098$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,318.11 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 20,960$10,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,060.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 15,589$7,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,645.81 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 15,039$7,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,218.79 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 13,054$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 10,998$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…a4d5backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 9,157$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 8,626$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 8,000$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.99 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 4,485$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 3,808$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…981bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…91b3backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 2,643$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 2,217$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 2,118$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.28 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 27c | 2,016$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.97 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 46c | 1,916$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.72 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 1,913$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 46c | 1,745$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 1,714$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 1,536$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.06 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,288$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.52 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,193$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.6 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…0ca8backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 1,046$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Arsenal FC | 60c | 1,000$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 825$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 812.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.9 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 736.74$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.02 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 716.89$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 713.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.74 | 261 | 44.4%116 W · 145 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 673.29$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 672.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.64 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 50c | 604.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 565.38$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 555.08$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 538.63$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 523.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 519.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 47c | 402.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 375.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…dc8bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 375.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 350.52$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…2aaabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 347.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…29c1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 345.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 345.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…bfecbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 343.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a6e8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 47c | 343.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…3ed9backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 341.64$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…51d8backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 340.19$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…6c94backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 337.72$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…807bbacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 333.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 52c | 322.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 48c | 314.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 314.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 312.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.