Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d9521d5034b9eb267136d09fa9f5748173f81d92bc9678efac21bbcc38d984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,649 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 34c | 73,870$25,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,183.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Under | 66c | 70,644$46,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,751.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 66c | 50,166$32,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,272.91 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 65c | 48,638$31,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,814.41 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 32,870$10,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,065.08 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 34c | 32,501$10,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,976.02 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 34c | 28,823$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 66c | 15,180$10,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.42 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 34c | 7,239$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.26 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 35c | 6,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 5,448$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.84 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 74c | 4,100$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.93 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 35c | 3,586$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.1 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 2,348$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.33 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 4c | 2,237$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 22c | 1,700$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 77c | 1,500$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.97 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 66c | 1,204$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.21 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 34c | 1,195$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 32c | 1,177$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.41 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 20c | 1,129$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 33c | 1,015$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Under | 65c | 1,005$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Under | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 34c | 699.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 562$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 548$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 34c | 544.12$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Over | 33c | 538.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…bde1backed Under | 66c | 518.18$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 23c | 482.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 64c | 459.43$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 70c | 428.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 35c | 395.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 383.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 35c | 383.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 65c | 382.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 74c | 358.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…68c1backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Under | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Under | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 31c | 281.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…3176backed Under | 72c | 277.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 62c | 270$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 34c | 244.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 63c | 218.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 212.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 63c | 199.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 63c | 199.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 35c | 195.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 36c | 191.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Over | 34c | 184.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 35c | 168.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 168.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…de63backed Over | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 34c | 155.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 35c | 155.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Under | 65c | 153.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…a50dbacked Over | 38c | 151$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…f82dbacked Over | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…3a41backed Under | 72c | 139.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…b0d4backed Over | 34c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4f…07dcbacked Over | 38c | 129$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…abcebacked Over | 37c | 126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…7df6backed Over | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…ea34backed Over | 38c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 121.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 36c | 119.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Over | 36c | 117.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.