TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07ea…f3a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Kylian Mbappé: 5+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$167.31
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.91
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$19.87
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.55
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$48.05
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.02
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$100.02
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovicbacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+643.4%+$76.56
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$261.26
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+146%+$70.42
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$81.37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.91
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.96
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.02
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$156.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$59.24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+239.4%+$59.86
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$101.47
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$48.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+110.2%+$58.34
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$93.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$58.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$117.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$32.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+100.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Exact Score: RU Saint-Gilloise 2 - 1 FK Bodø/Glimt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.93
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+506.6%+$1,013.33
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$559.51
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54.24
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.76
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$97.82
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$26.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$83.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$39.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.