Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b92b16d25d8bac14d701d3208bb7ba22139f4132e5df3f9b2d0b2d3e8e8b8f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 799.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 41c | 700.14$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 29c | 693.39$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…8af6backed No | 61c | 593.42$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 583.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 549.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 528.13$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…c235backed Yes | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 429.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 5c | 355.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.1 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 49c | 311.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…11cdbacked No | 71c | 300.35$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 281.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 62c | 274.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 27c | 258$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 255$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 57c | 240.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 230.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 195.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 34c | 193.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 39c | 193.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 44c | 178.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 15c | 166.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 62c | 161.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 40c | 154$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 150.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 149.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 60c | 142.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 51c | 137.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed Yes | 11c | 137.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 124.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 123.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f5…29f5backed No | 64c | 119.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 46c | 117.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 115.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…70a4backed Yes | 39c | 115.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…4a36backed Yes | 44c | 113.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 45c | 111.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 45c | 110.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 32c | 108.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 36c | 104.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 104.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 48c | 96.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ee23backed Yes | 44c | 91.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 59c | 90.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 21c | 86.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked No | 13c | 86.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 83.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 33c | 81.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…0be5backed No | 18c | 77.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 26c | 74.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 20c | 68.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…afa2backed No | 74c | 67.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 58c | 66.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 25c | 62.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Yes | 43c | 58.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 55c | 56.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 65c | 55.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 27c | 55.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 23c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 60c | 52.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 42c | 51.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 24c | 48.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 47c | 45.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 73c | 45.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 34c | 45.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 67c | 44.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…f910backed Yes | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…4d69backed No | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 40.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 35c | 39.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 53c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…7d0dbacked Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 34.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 34.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 40c | 32.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…70ddbacked Yes | 44c | 30.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed Yes | 37c | 30.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.