TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd90e…03b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,277
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1,14849.6%569 W · 579 L-34.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$13.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$23.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.36
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+46%+$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$19.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$53.92
Showing 25 of 1,148 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT6043.3%26 W · 34 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.73
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$29.62
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$19.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Michael Bennet win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$161.29
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.55
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51%+$23.59
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$66.27
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.87
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$22.04
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$40.95
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.41
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+352.7%+$155.82
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$14.25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$330.3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+68%+$20.23
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$75.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$30.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.