Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381956898054a248d169ef38a020c247882e7d97de5a8544b146e0e2149d7ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 47c | 7,709$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.67 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 54c | 6,876$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.04 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 42c | 6,574$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.01 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 54c | 6,316$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 50c | 2,525$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.37 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…edd9backed Yes | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 49c | 2,080$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.81 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 2,075$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.76 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 50c | 1,915$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.77 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 65c | 1,836$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.63 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 45c | 1,814$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.34 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 1,791$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.28 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 48c | 1,503$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.18 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 49c | 1,346$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 48c | 1,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.09 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 1,126$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.69 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 54c | 1,031$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 48c | 975$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.25 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 47c | 851.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 43c | 810.66$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 53c | 804.55$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 50c | 700$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 635.86$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.94 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 625$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 49c | 604$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e4…4a75backed Yes | 52c | 554.59$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 76c | 518.69$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 46c | 514.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 46c | 499.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 49c | 466$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 46c | 428.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 401.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 396$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 48c | 359.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 57c | 353.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 55c | 318$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 52c | 288.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 52c | 278.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 44c | 277.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 40c | 263$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 36c | 232.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 45c | 231$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Yes | 55c | 209.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 46c | 205.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 33c | 197.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.47 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 55c | 181.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 39c | 178$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 54c | 175.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 42c | 157$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 43c | 155$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Yes | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…ba60backed Yes | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes | 51c | 116.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 56c | 114.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Yes | 46c | 111.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 46c | 104.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…30eebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…0ee4backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 45c | 99.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…6b54backed No | 37c | 95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…cec4backed Yes | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 93.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 66c | 92.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…4657backed Yes | 29c | 87.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 47c | 86.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 52c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 81.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 81.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 43c | 80.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 46c | 77.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 49c | 75.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b7a7backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 55c | 72.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…449cbacked No | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 52c | 69.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 48c | 66.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Yes | 54c | 64.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 60c | 61.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?this page
- Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.