TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9495…468f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,049
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
33

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT19445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.25
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.15
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.9
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Lionel Messi Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.12
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.32
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.79
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+259.7%+$378.33
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10734.6%37 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$18.53
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.14
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.38
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.31
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+744.1%+$193.94
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$125.93
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.92
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$37.44
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.29
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$212.05
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.17
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.59
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+388.2%+$445.29
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.18
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$35.31
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.13
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.38
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT9525.3%24 W · 71 L-13.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
AI — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.48
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$32.86
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.32
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.56
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.19
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.98
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.92
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$44.96
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$165.06
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.27
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.83
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,245.61
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.46
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.4
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.22
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.08
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$93.17
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT8541.2%35 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.85
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$16.64
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.84
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.9
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.99
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.3
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$28.52
Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.75
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$37.67
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$152.83
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.4
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$255.95
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+446.9%+$48.21
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$9.82
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$5.42
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$385.84
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.72
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.3
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+202%+$32.8
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620.92
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.05
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.81
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$60.97
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.3
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$33.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.44
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.56
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.48
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.83
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$72.38
Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$45.82
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.23
Will anyone say "Prophecy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.84
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$302.54
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$66.6
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.2
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$27.34
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.86
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$210.81
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
RipCars FDV above $4M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$23.65
Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.14
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.26
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$153.05
Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Laso Finance FDV above $30M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.39
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$22.69
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$67.17
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.36
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$101.43
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$191.09
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,388.33
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$1,908.97
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+71%+$3,425.15
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.36
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$51.25
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.37
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.8
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.68
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$52.95
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53%+$356.44
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+6,164.3%+$40,348.62
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$483.97
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$860.7
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.98
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,007.76
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,482.74
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,441.21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,511.66
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$593.52
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+968.2%+$3,235.68
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$331.53
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$412.48
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.3
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,688.37
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,664.09
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$866.72
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$285.81
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$867.87
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,303.45
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,077.86
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,242.39
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$820.27
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$646.39
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.05
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$688.85
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.73
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$827.77
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$454.02
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.84
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.82
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.04
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.34
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$427.5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$77.66
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$235.33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.92
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$117.62
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.22
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.66
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.19
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.93
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$26.42
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$34.17
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.96
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$51.51
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.62
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.57
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$445.84
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$26.8
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$59.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$365.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 31?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$201.5
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+302.7%+$162.17
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.48
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$39.36
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.49
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.93
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$450.71
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$9.59
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.94
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.89
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.68
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$19.52
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$89.9
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$23.84
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$394.27
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$55.4
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.21
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.72
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$14.8
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.04
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$37.47
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will the US lose jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$32.04
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.72
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$163.78
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$4.86
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.22
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.66
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.07
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.44
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+191.8%+$78.74
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$167.33
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$38.86
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$156.75
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Lime's market cap be less than $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.56
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.78
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$5.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.21
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.56
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.96
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$59.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.96
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.78
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.09
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $5.5B and $7.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS2 EWC 2026: Will an Open Qualifier Team Finish Top 8 at EWC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Will Wildcard make playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Betclic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+397%+$180.07
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$587.02
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.86
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$72.84
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.6
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.59
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$255.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will s1mple retire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$515.63
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$841.77
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$207.2
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.46
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.96
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$33.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.11
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$56.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.36
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$22.04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.92
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.57
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$84.62
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$60.9
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$126.26
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$83.81
Will G2 Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.85
Will JD Gaming Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.97
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVPbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.88
Will Xun Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.43
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$266.56
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will T1 Make Finals at MSI 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.5
Will Secret Whales win LCP 2026 Split 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.41
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.47
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.09
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$16.1
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$73.5
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.96
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$98.51
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.01
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$75.87
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.17
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$151.71
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$211.94
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.87
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.28
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+321.9%+$55.7
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-79.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,747Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+145.5%+$2,541.9
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$248.01
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$586.1
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$98.09
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$852.99
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$307.89
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$105.24
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$221.95
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.15
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$41.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.61
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.11
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$32.49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$509.63
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.06
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$238.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-88.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.03
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.09
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$56.02
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Yu finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$40
Will Blades Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$200.95
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162.81
Will Alejandro Del Rey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.52
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.2
Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.66
Will Taylor Montgomery finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Rikuya Hoshino finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$20.73
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.76
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.2
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick3cpaid+663.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$98.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$315.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.