Token Launches · resolved market
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20cac879cfa6e9af40a7c88a515bc014ae5c12a372a495cd9b4a18efbf041ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 73c | 5,979$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.46 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked No | 40c | 3,035$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.01 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…a58ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,223$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 2c | 2,171$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 27c | 1,580$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…b55cbacked No | 36c | 1,347$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 6c | 1,226$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 17c | 1,199$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…4603backed No | 19c | 1,110$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 43c | 882.36$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 33c | 817.16$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…2712backed Yes | 79c | 797.89$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…bc00backed No | 49c | 756.91$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…d96abacked Yes | 46c | 752.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…c5c4backed No | 26c | 659.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed No | 43c | 604.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…4c0bbacked No | 8c | 585$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 33c | 531.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 37c | 501.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 454.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…de28backed Yes | 60c | 403.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Yes | 63c | 400.43$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked No | 20c | 398.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…d3d1backed Yes | 80c | 370.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed No | 19c | 319.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 46c | 248.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 80c | 244.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 21c | 229.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Yes | 67c | 209.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 68c | 196.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 32c | 196.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…0a8cbacked No | 22c | 156.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 22c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 72c | 146.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cc…cec1backed Yes | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 136.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 80c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Yes | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 80c | 134.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 131.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 22c | 129.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 60c | 129$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 102$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…78e1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…d4babacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…d00abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed Yes | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 75c | 91.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 63c | 82.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…6b36backed Yes | 49c | 78.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 20c | 59.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…9528backed Yes | 80c | 59.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…4ababacked Yes | 80c | 59.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 28c | 58.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…caf7backed Yes | 80c | 56.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…653bbacked Yes | 78c | 54.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb029…ae06backed No | 22c | 54.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…ad3dbacked Yes | 78c | 53.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf109…eabcbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…6b28backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…187fbacked Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 64c | 47.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 65c | 46.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 43.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 26c | 38.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 32c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6a…5e48backed Yes | 75c | 31.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…3921backed No | 59c | 30.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…a63dbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…d477backed Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?this page
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $550M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.