GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33733c35cb23de46eb0f4128061d62a23647cb8c7f46d6287c8b2276e0dafb0f

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $101,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,925 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9154…df41backed Yes	19c	8,605$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.36	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes	29c	4,180$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.61	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	16c	3,515$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.31	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x604a…a58ebacked Yes	23c	3,500$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a40…851abacked Yes	7c	2,848$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.35	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.25per pick	20cpaid	+96.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked No	75c	2,550$1,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.55	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No	69c	2,009$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.42	145	48.3%70 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7e…23ebbacked No	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	13c	1,656$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.03	159	41.5%66 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked No	73c	1,652$1,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.9	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a5…24dfbacked Yes	15c	1,543$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed No	70c	1,350$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.5	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes	9c	1,333$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.97	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a3…b174backed Yes	20c	1,231$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	1,200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	154	1.9%3 W · 151 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2167…85cebacked Yes	28c	1,151$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.21	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes	9c	1,121$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.44	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f4…1cd7backed Yes	37c	1,046$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1254…9decbacked Yes	31c	1,042$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6a…bc3cbacked Yes	29c	916.99$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes	16c	890.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.11	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+168.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed No	77c	888.97$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.46	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	80c	888.34$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.71	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	19c	847.19$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.02	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8127…e121backed Yes	30c	843.41$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.04	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd5…1dc7backed No	75c	831.35$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.36	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes	17c	817.87$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.5	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece8…13fdbacked Yes	24c	756.36$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd959…2712backed Yes	26c	736.67$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.06	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	43cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ba…10b8backed No	78c	709.99$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5657…b56cbacked Yes	21c	700.65$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.68	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea8…c8bdbacked No	61c	666.89$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.79	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed No	77c	606.82$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.37	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+41%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	70c	600$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fc…23dbbacked Yes	37c	588.16$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…763fbacked Yes	36c	569.42$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.83	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x356a…bfeabacked Yes	22c	550$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+265%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2477…6227backed Yes	18c	550$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c38…4603backed Yes	22c	505.23$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24c…eefebacked No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed Yes	21c	499.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	18c	499.33$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.95	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+166%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7adb…0db9backed Yes	25c	474.98$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…26b2backed Yes	31c	466.84$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcb…f365backed Yes	21c	437.72$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa601…cad0backed Yes	11c	374.74$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-78%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes	8c	366.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	111	7.2%8 W · 103 L	-12.9wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes	30c	330$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…b912backed No	71c	300.03$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.41	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4ce…d70ebacked No	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	76cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6d…12c4backed No	78c	300$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cea…7f1ebacked Yes	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No	65c	299.79$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.93	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked Yes	25c	283.61$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.16	143	35.7%51 W · 92 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x137f…968dbacked No	75c	267.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.33	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25a…739cbacked Yes	8c	261.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+285.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b0…372fbacked Yes	22c	254.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…58bebacked Yes	10c	250.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…4723backed No	72c	246.7$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.53	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	26c	235.74$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.89	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	19c	230.96$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.09	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5739…b180backed Yes	19c	222.64$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.85	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x975d…01bebacked Yes	8c	220.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+220.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes	19c	215.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…d3d1backed Yes	13c	212.12$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd220…f5edbacked Yes	33c	202.37$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed No	70c	200$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ad…411abacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf0…c5c4backed No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No	80c	196.51$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.53	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	26c	193$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	26cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	18c	192.34$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	20c	190.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.15	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x407c…49aabacked Yes	16c	190.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf4c…d5dbbacked No	71c	187.36$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.72	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	184.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…0906backed No	77c	180$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+12.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d06…ec01backed Yes	28c	177.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.61	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fda…3fd7backed No	61c	165.94$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.92	100	47%47 W · 53 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd990…749ebacked Yes	14c	158.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…3d98backed Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	27c	150$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d1f…5757backed Yes	38c	150$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13f…3de9backed No	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	26c	148.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	22c	144.03$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ca…1b86backed Yes	20c	144$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	20c	141.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.43	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81ab…fd92backed Yes	11c	141.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3958…3029backed Yes	11c	137.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2955…0b87backed Yes	13c	133.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…6ee6backed No	79c	130.54$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.05	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeefb…fb62backed Yes	24c	125.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.05	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x321d…ed56backed Yes	31c	124.62$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No	80c	124.36$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.87	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No	76c	121.5$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	15c	120.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	333	29.7%99 W · 234 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $550M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event