TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1075…19c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
566
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT17324.3%42 W · 131 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.46
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$29.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT8218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+262.1%+$38.36
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.1
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+331.2%+$119.05
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will the announcers say "Kane" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.8
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$53.2
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will Rúben Dias score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT5719.3%11 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$57.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.2
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$56.7
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$46.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$82.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.3
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4816.7%8 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.52
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $62B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$86.9
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$88
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4617.4%8 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$58.8
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.8
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+249.4%+$72.8
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$56.7
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$58.85
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+210.9%+$37.74
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.76
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of June 29 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.84
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$34.98
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+393.1%+$39.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.1
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.35
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$89.91
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.16
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Andrew Clough be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$54.6
Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick26cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$55.76
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$68.2
Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$97.2
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+232.6%+$104.9
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$53.2
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$57.4
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108%+$50.88
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.8
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.16
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.78
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$59.5
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$60.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lime's market cap be less than $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will ITG's market cap be less than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.83
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$56.7
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.4
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.