Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x399b69600812f9997ee0dcac06c74c9351f230baa53765eacbc443a77bc520b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $735,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 14c | 325,631$44,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,748.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 15c | 118,485$17,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,502.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 59c | 103,372$61,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,026.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 14c | 25,131$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.3 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 12,286$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,850$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 14c | 11,752$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.93 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed Yes | 28c | 10,378$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 6c | 6,587$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 13c | 4,901$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 56c | 4,829$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.56 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,318$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…edb7backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 2,942$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.04 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,646$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.53 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 15c | 2,335$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 2c | 2,010$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 11c | 1,840$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 76c | 1,813$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f4f2backed Yes | 10c | 1,568$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,247$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 17c | 1,233$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 7c | 1,201$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 4c | 1,122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 75c | 1,096$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed No | 65c | 998.99$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 10c | 983$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 888.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 691$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 19c | 645.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 18c | 534.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 36c | 501.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…db63backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 405.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 9c | 367.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…6afabacked Yes | 27c | 366.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked Yes | 17c | 352.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b94…d871backed Yes | 4c | 348.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…d3abbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 80c | 285$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed No | 69c | 281.79$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed Yes | 21c | 276.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 12c | 227.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 18c | 219.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 205.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 17c | 200.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 19c | 199.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 63c | 171.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 26c | 169.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…e319backed Yes | 60c | 166.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 9c | 157.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 153.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…3af9backed No | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 147.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 37c | 145.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Yes | 18c | 128.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 13c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked No | 75c | 114.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 38c | 112.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 18c | 109.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 16c | 98.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 85.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 59c | 84.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 77.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…c13fbacked Yes | 19c | 68.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed No | 72c | 68.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb625…415bbacked Yes | 18c | 67.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 64.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked No | 75c | 63.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 37c | 60.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed No | 72c | 58.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 28c | 51.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 34c | 50.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 41.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?this page
- Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No won
- Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.