Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cfbd8aabc3519021dc16ab0c7e0f42b0fdac191e64bcc3c42c2319c4c0117f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $953,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked No | 12c | 371,436$45,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,724.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 15c | 35,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 18c | 27,388$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.13 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 14c | 23,765$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 14c | 20,173$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.51 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 21c | 11,314$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 6c | 9,455$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 6,791$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.97 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 14c | 6,326$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.89 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 16c | 5,911$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.13 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…f1b0backed Yes | 78c | 4,830$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 15c | 4,485$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.09 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…90f6backed No | 19c | 4,125$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 11c | 4,121$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 7c | 4,000$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 32c | 3,631$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 79c | 3,493$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.42 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 3,345$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 75c | 3,232$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.5 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 14c | 2,656$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.29 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed No | 15c | 2,613$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 78c | 2,496$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.08 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 20c | 2,454$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.32 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 17c | 2,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 16c | 2,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 1,988$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.89 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 19c | 1,874$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed No | 16c | 1,800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 19c | 1,593$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 14c | 1,320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 1,316$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 1,283$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,162$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 1,140$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 9c | 881.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 16c | 840.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 74c | 792.51$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 23c | 787.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 11c | 764.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 11c | 736.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 11c | 701$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 10c | 689.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 15c | 667.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 65c | 609.53$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 9c | 599.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…4bd6backed Yes | 70c | 587$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 19c | 570$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 21c | 553.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 19c | 550.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 16c | 546.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 61c | 536.25$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked No | 10c | 527$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 507.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…73cfbacked No | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 7c | 494.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 10c | 487.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Yes | 79c | 478.95$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed No | 16c | 474.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 7c | 467.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 17c | 460.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 10c | 459.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 77c | 455$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0731…5194backed No | 12c | 419.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 18c | 410.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked No | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 4c | 385.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 12c | 370.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 54c | 363.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 19c | 346.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked No | 23c | 345$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 15c | 323.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 12c | 309.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 18c | 292.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f4f2backed No | 7c | 269.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 18c | 262.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 18c | 258$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…00eebacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…2a7ebacked No | 33c | 241.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed No | 4c | 239.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 9c | 238.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 11c | 236$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked No | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 41c | 208.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 77c | 200.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…8179backed Yes | 41c | 199.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…a2d4backed No | 16c | 198$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 69c | 190.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 6c | 183.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…41bebacked Yes | 76c | 175.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 45c | 173.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…449cbacked No | 9c | 163.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 163.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?this page
- Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No won
- Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.