TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8b7…ee3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,290
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT47648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 476 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.81
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000.41
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$10.68
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,911Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+418.8%+$8,002.64
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$488.12
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.74
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$390.19
Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$236.91
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$652.96
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.14
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70%+$59.22
Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+76%+$609.46
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$501.33
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$816
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$1,171.93
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62%+$935.31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$1,059.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$501
England to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.43
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$170.6
Will Argentina finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$83.82
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$334.4
Showing 25 of 476 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST11839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.61
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Scorigami in NFL Week 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$623.69
Scorigami in NFL Week 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.33
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+168.5%+$1,182.05
Will a player cry during the national anthem at Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55.51
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$82.95
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+112.4%+$152.42
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.16
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,241.78
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$601.9
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+57.1%+$90.83
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Will someone score an octopus in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.66
Will the last team to score win Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$681.81
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$572.3
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.67
Chiefs (-1.5) vs. Eagles Spreadbacked Eagles +1.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$264.09
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.46
Total Over/Under 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$68.62
Will the Eagles lead the Chiefs after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIX?backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$64.12
Who will be shown first during national anthem- Chiefs or Eagles?backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.79
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$101.05
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.79
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$282
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$69.4
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$4,567.03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4,808.62
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$129.82
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$386.46
NBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$32.75
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$276.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$1,087.56
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.57
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.65
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$1,939.09
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$86.12
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$182
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.59
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+261.6%+$28.36
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$48.72
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT9932.3%32 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,819Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$17,164.78
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.1%+$103.02
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$620.07
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,335.24
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,139.89
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,273.07
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.81
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,693.62
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$117.62
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,316.53
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.11
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$97.95
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.84
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$338.72
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.39
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.39
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.47
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$72.5
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.79
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+147.2%+$1,260.39
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.9%+$526.79
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.81
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT9129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.76
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$589.48
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.2%+$398.08
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.75
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$239
Panick in the White Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$319.92
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$508.3
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$344.8
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$329.36
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$561.18
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.29
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+250.1%+$89.43
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$93.68
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$375.99
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?backed House · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$306.49
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75.19
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$668.89
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.06
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT7731.2%24 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$191.28
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.05
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.96
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30%+$104.95
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.18
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.85
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$84.58
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.84
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$669.72
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$473.93
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.61
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,941Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$1,489.89
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,066Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+73%+$4,430.35
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$448.67
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$383.1
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.01
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.97
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$17.24
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$182.18
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,815Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.5%+$1,197.21
Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$81.44
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.01
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT6336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,970.66
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,889.89
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,495.98
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,797.21
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,152
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$1,998.01
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,224
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,463.59
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.64
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$631.23
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$561
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.11
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.81
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$2,251.5
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.28
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$698.77
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,068.81
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,095.06
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$292.53
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$851.47
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+59%+$5,339.13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$5,182.89
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$77.65
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,644Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$10,428.57
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.52
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.82
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.37
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.38
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,433.9
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$5,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,361.09
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$462.16
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.62
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+826.1%+$509.34
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.56
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.67
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.06
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,025
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+65.1%+$723.37
Will SV win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+28%+$11.8
Will the blue bloc win between 81 and 83 seats in the Norwegian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.16
Will MDG win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$32.07
Will the Patient Focus (PF) win a seat in Norwegian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.55
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.14
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5121.6%11 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$226.4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.2
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$201.21
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$536.35
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,507.69
Iran Nuke in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$337.21
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.19
US strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.71
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,596.84
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$913.26
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,612.02
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.27
Iran Nuke in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$157.42
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$471.03
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$137.65
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+984.8%+$270.51
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+173.6%+$790.4
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2913.8%4 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.3
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286.52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$362.08
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,864.95
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,480.28
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+86.3%+$36.08
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$5,362.73
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.73
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$723.62
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.33
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.8
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$359.31
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$83.73
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$110.32
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+58.6%+$84.58
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$24.42
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+25.5%+$125.74
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70.83
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,970.72
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$439.3
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$736.24
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+119.5%+$1,158.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+213.8%+$1,458.26
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+492.1%+$3,085.99
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,747.83
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.9%+$40.18
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.62
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,101.63
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+481.2%+$50.6
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.68
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45.09
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65.8
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.33
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$112.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,628.7
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$337.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$59.31
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$809.23
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.83
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$108.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,077.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,779.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+277.9%+$2,730.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$1,127.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$222.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$885.09
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2024, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+33.4%+$96.11
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+112.4%+$170.38
Will RB Leipzig beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$208.03
Will the match between Monaco vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$570.51
Will Atalanta beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$96.6
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.17
Will the match between Atalanta vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$188.11
Will Feyenoord beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$408.58
Will the match between Feyenoord vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.36
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Feyenoord?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$479.69
Will Manchester City vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+407.8%+$172.92
Will Inter Milan beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$143.43
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+190.6%+$712.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.24
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$513.45
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 3backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$327.08
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Winnerbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+65.2%+$313.65
Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+29.7%+$278.34
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$348.73
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Game 3backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$196.84
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Game 1backed Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+181.8%+$606.45
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 1backed Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$82.14
WNBA: Lynx vs. Mercury Game 2backed Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.26
WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2backed Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$51.01
Liberty vs. Dream Series Winnerbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-84.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.33
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.2
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$488.87
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$270.19
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$753.16
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.85
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.13
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.63
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$273.15
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shutterstock (SSTK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+163.3%+$44.4
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.53
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$26.3
Will JetBlue Airways (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$11.66
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,796.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.89
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.78
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$513.9
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+384.3%+$439.46
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.54
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the Atlanta Braves make the Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$114.8
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks make the Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will the New York Mets make the Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$138.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$791.22
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+537.4%+$5,234.69
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.49
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+72%+$400.43
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.91
Will Southampton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$6.11
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.45
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.74
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$239.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+197.9%+$102.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+151.2%+$680.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.