NBA · resolved market
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f1b7033e94dfae055ceabfec528c75e68ad8d158d1b1a8460c3834e5fcabe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 34c | 53,520$18,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,151.96 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 67c | 51,881$34,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,999.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Yes | 9c | 34,276$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.95 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 31c | 8,869$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.46 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…e1b2backed No | 68c | 7,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes | 32c | 7,033$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…66c0backed Yes | 32c | 5,952$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 69c | 3,599$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.53 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…180ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,109$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…f09cbacked No | 68c | 3,006$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…eab3backed No | 68c | 2,920$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 2,890$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.78 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 33c | 2,711$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.79 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 67c | 2,524$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 70c | 2,146$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8d22backed No | 69c | 2,124$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 2,123$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed No | 66c | 2,093$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.8 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,902$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…25a1backed Yes | 29c | 1,803$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 21c | 1,682$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 68c | 1,406$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.55 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…e678backed Yes | 40c | 1,224$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 7c | 957.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 69c | 873.35$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Yes | 32c | 779.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…439dbacked Yes | 32c | 778.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf583…f3d6backed No | 67c | 750$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 24c | 729.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 30c | 680.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 68c | 630$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 71c | 605.83$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 599.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 565.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8137…ccadbacked Yes | 27c | 552.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 68c | 540.18$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 33c | 500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…47f5backed No | 68c | 465.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 10c | 449.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 429.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 30c | 422.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed No | 68c | 412$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 407.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Yes | 12c | 400.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…633abacked Yes | 5c | 396.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 30c | 363.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…c522backed No | 68c | 359.13$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…5175backed Yes | 14c | 345.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…2aefbacked Yes | 33c | 333.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…7a5bbacked Yes | 31c | 302.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 301.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed No | 68c | 292.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…dc73backed No | 68c | 292.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 66c | 280$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 32c | 270.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…e184backed Yes | 32c | 264.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 255$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 246.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…0684backed No | 70c | 227.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed No | 68c | 219.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…497dbacked Yes | 9c | 217.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 70c | 210.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 209.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 22c | 200.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837e…27dfbacked Yes | 33c | 179.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 12c | 162.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 162.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 160.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 28c | 159.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…7193backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…4965backed Yes | 33c | 154.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 17c | 154$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…50a3backed Yes | 13c | 153.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…5b1ebacked Yes | 33c | 151.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 22c | 150.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Yes | 32c | 147.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 64c | 132.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c78fbacked Yes | 33c | 131$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…6299backed Yes | 9c | 130.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 26c | 129.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…1a25backed Yes | 42c | 118.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…8254backed No | 67c | 114.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…1aecbacked No | 68c | 105.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Yes | 32c | 91.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…6206backed Yes | 31c | 91.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 31c | 90.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 88.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 30c | 83.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…97a6backed No | 68c | 80.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?this page
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?Yes won
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?No won
- Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.