TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeec3…6bd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
342
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT19447.9%93 W · 101 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$29.63
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.7
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$37.76
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.84
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+565.1%+$559.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$39.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$40.4
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.22
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$71.31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$126.82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.01
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.72
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.75
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.43
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$14.01
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.81
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$21.15
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$22.6
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked Sacramento Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.12
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$35.2
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakersbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked Houston Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.8
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Washington Wizardsbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+408.6%+$300.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63.75
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$269.37
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+186.8%+$205.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$85.29
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$24.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.57
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.6
Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$35.08
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$25.8
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$51.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.21
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.45
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$23.8
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.72
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.34
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+302.1%+$90.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+259.1%+$75.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$23.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.