WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743dd58b90eedc8cda136a843f5bfcc3b46c5142333dcdc7e0d4b00d3ab21e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Connecticut Sun, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 66,907$42,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,135 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 63,681$23,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,883.33 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 23,259$14,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,653.33 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 13,539$8,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,664.73 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…0f9cbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 11,899$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,321.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 4,138$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.43 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 3,945$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 3,520$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.31 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 3,463$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.01 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 2,953$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.66 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 2,927$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 2,593$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.36 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 2,553$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.36 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Connecticut Sun | 74c | 2,281$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.31 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Connecticut Sun | 59c | 2,207$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.83 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 2,071$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…9683backed Connecticut Sun | 36c | 1,833$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 37c | 1,716$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.9 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Connecticut Sun | 60c | 1,706$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.58 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 1,594$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Connecticut Sun | 44c | 1,573$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…52d9backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 1,550$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 1,467$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 1,331$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 1,233$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.82 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…22a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 1,117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 1,044$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 1,011$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 970.53$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Connecticut Sun | 76c | 770.71$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.7wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 741.16$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.52 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun | 35c | 666$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 653.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.15 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 68c | 538.25$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun | 36c | 501.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.14 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…5e2bbacked Connecticut Sun | 42c | 477.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d6c2backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 461.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Connecticut Sun | 63c | 460$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 455$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 400.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 342.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd583…588ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 326.84$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Connecticut Sun | 36c | 326.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 325.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…b904backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 324.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 299.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Connecticut Sun | 65c | 285$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 272.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 267.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 256.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…6c86backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 249.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 241.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun | 70c | 240$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 229.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 229.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…1b20backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 226.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Connecticut Sun | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 219$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 211.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 204.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Connecticut Sun | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 179.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 169.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 169.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 161.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Connecticut Sun | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Connecticut Sun | 77c | 148.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 148.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 37c | 143$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Connecticut Sun | 72c | 141.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 134.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 132.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 120.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…3c81backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 119.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 103.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 97.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 95.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Connecticut Sun | 69c | 94.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 162.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 163.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.