TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cb5…98f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: WNBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.95
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+199%+$266.2
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.15
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
American vs. National: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$575
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$312.77
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,498.56
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$303.1
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+157.4%+$413.83
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$747.76
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Rome: Deborah Chiesa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$5,640
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,043
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Miguel Tobonbacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430.01
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.35
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.86
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$400.66
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+177.8%+$959.99
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+75.4%+$175.87
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$173.21
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$196
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+26.6%+$53.13
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+270.4%+$460.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick49cpaid+84.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+72.4%+$420
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$53.17
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$225
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$215
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+122.2%+$412.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+154.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$285.83
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$351.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.