MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0c4c46b86a3c07a89fa5b446ef1376b39fd564eaa35f36e237ed42389aece1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Over | 46c | 156,250$71,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,875.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 44c | 101,422$44,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,971.93 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 54c | 85,353$46,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,262.55 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 70,734$39,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,123.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Under | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 18,925$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,705.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 15,781$8,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.2 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 14,633$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.25 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 5,477$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.96 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 5,452$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.72 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 43c | 3,441$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.7 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 35c | 3,328$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,171$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 71c | 3,072$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.09 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 26c | 2,557$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.29 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 43c | 2,212$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.25 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,940$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 1,242$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 27c | 1,112$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.42 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 56c | 1,096$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.95 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over | 26c | 1,052$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 34c | 1,036$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 975$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 943$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 702.01$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 46c | 542.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 45c | 461.19$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 58c | 419.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Over | 24c | 389.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 372$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 26c | 363.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 57c | 338.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 324.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 34c | 309.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 41c | 266.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 42c | 246.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 244.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 55c | 217.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 180.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 68c | 174.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 173.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…92c4backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…4dccbacked Under | 62c | 155.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 42c | 148.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 32c | 128.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 125.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 23c | 122.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 41c | 115.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 56c | 112.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 54c | 107.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…ac5ebacked Under | 59c | 107.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 30c | 104.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 59c | 101.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 56c | 98.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 58c | 88.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 30c | 88.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 57c | 80.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 57c | 76.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 36c | 74.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 44c | 71.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 42c | 68.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 73c | 68.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 26c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Under | 58c | 62.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 68c | 57.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Over | 25c | 56.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Over | 42c | 52.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.