MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b3df499be4b5cc27c6bbe022760926b10f4515e62682bb346ea3b9b05587e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $795,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 117,558$73,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,249.75 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 116,181$42,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,650.97 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 54,054$34,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,054.05 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 30,000$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,699.98 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 29,009$10,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 28,365$16,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,794.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 27,302$12,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,860.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70e…219fbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 25,358$9,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,975.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 23,163$14,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,592.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 21,370$13,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,808.76 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 21,298$13,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,513.75 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 21,101$12,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,449.48 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 20,309$11,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 13,819$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 13,541$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,628.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.51 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 13,008$9,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.46 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 13,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.84 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 12,127$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 11,641$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.83 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 10,696$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,845.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 10,377$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 9,462$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.27 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 8,667$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 8,600$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 7,964$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.67 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 7,848$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.08 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 6,812$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.98 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 6,757$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.76 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 6,092$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.98 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 6,027$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.39 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 5,782$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.84 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 5,405$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.41 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 5,348$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked San Francisco Giants | 68c | 4,814$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.3 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 4,607$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 4,054$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.05 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 3,822$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 3,676$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.24 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.91 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 2,795$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,778$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.68 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 2,458$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 2,411$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.09 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 2,390$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…7437backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,729$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,703$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.2 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,560$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.61 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,558$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,554$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,538$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.61 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 1,500$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 1,441$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,423$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.34 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 1,411$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,201$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.22 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,024$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 970.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 960.06$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 892.86$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Seattle Mariners | 14c | 843.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 823.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.7 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 773.68$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 758.59$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 750$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 661.04$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.46 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 641$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 580.95$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.78 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 579.69$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 561$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 542$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.46 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed San Francisco Giants | 71c | 540$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 534.32$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.57 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 528.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 523$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 514.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 510.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.03 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 506.35$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 501.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 495$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 475.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 469.38$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 463.4$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 455.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 450.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 446.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 430.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 420.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 416.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.73 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 416.46$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.