TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cbb…f8a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
623
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: College Football, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 61 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT30242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 302 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,914.25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$760.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,832.15
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,136.98
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,266.89
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,692
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+226.6%+$9,474.15
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,832.05
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$23,155.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$8,261.38
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,611.82
Willson Contreras: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,458
James Wood: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 302 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,272.45
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.85
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72%+$706.03
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$2,000
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,390.91
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,411.76
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$835
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+119%+$5,949.64
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.17
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,846Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$12,433.58
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.53
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,815.38
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,507.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,442
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,480
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$4,347.35
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6,393.18
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.56
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.84
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$662.79
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,550
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.52
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$2,300.18
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.31
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.07
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.19
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$205.32
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.2%+$719.58
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$100.8
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$144.08
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.4
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.72
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+120%+$910.57
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.56
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,154.1
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$73.66
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$81.36
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.36
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$63.11
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$398.66
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.53
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.66
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,573Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$12,687.27
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$216.14
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70.2%+$206.25
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+90.1%+$15.38
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$317.8
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$149
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$96.73
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+71.4%+$93.58
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+312.1%+$214.52
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.3%+$42.41
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$170
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13,943.09
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,373.15
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$659.68
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+50.6%+$142.66
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$268.4
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$346
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Rams (-8.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$336.27
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+60.5%+$666.37
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$672.55
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$517
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$207
Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$217
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+57.6%+$121.44
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$733
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$385.64
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$74.16
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+60.3%+$48.21
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$70.59
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$29.38
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$12.14
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+86.7%+$26.02
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.ALbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,346.15
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$136.79
Baylor Bears vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$121.99
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+97.6%+$38.7
Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-10.5)backed Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.63
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5)backed West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.67
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
Bryant Bulldogs vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.7%+$206.32
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+36%+$246.81
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$461.53
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+82.5%+$24.99
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-3.5)backed Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$91.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$140.23
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$44.71
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+69.7%+$97.51
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$29.51
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+86.1%+$17.22
UFC 318: Will Holloway win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$86.03
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$200.87
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$37.85
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$196.23
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.93
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$162.82
Tulsa vs. Armybacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+175.7%+$175.68
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+109.6%+$110.71
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs Sunbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Sky vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Fever vs Wingsbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.87
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$543.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$150.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.