NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2afa0369dac68a53947f019d7858202d90be8a7715c90192e643d326b58c7870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pelicans | 52c | 53,000$27,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,799.99 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 48c | 44,974$21,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,253.84 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 48c | 30,287$14,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.38 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 50c | 26,750$13,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,401.67 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Lakers | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.98 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 19,471$10,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.08 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Lakers | 48c | 17,708$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,208.33 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 13,122$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,548.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 46c | 12,035$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.18 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 53c | 11,193$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 53c | 8,562$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 7,895$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 48c | 7,891$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 47c | 7,292$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 50c | 6,606$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 50c | 5,991$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.74 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 59c | 5,789$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,442$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.33 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,293$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.39 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 49c | 5,133$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.79 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 5,065$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 45c | 5,024$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Lakers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Lakers | 50c | 4,998$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.04 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lakers | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,993$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.61 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,887$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,705$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.06 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 48c | 3,595$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.24 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,431$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lakers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Lakers | 49c | 2,996$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.92 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Lakers | 49c | 2,971$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.43 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,785$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.5 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 59c | 2,731$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.02 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,703$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Lakers | 51c | 2,698$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.09 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,596$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.8 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,447$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,306$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,923$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.65 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 67c | 1,891$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.25 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,760$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Pelicans | 57c | 1,756$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Lakers | 50c | 1,659$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,610$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,507$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,506$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.98 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…5a86backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,500$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,383$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +183%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…1dafbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,379$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,378$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 50c | 1,338$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.93 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Lakers | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Pelicans | 3c | 1,234$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.92 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Lakers | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.37 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans | 49c | 965$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.85 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Lakers | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 810$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Pelicans | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.86 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers | 68c | 782.81$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Pelicans | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 49c | 753.78$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.35 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 49c | 725.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 723$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 52c | 710.21$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 49c | 652.61$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 52c | 619.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 48c | 600$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…b839backed Lakers | 42c | 599.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pelicans | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Pelicans | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Lakers | 47c | 550.33$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 59c | 545.51$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Lakers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Lakers | 51c | 501.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Lakers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Lakers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Pelicans | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Pelicans | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pelicans | 51c | 452.43$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 45c | 443.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.