NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f323b868d426ee268ed9dc6819f1e347c6adf861306957c4f38589f5136cb86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 44c | 16,173$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.62 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 8,644$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Over | 53c | 3,100$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 2,919$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 57c | 2,288$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.29 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 2,036$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 58c | 1,799$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 48c | 971.15$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 793.93$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 21c | 690.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 528.5$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 56c | 518$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 439.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 58c | 308.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 306$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 289.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked Over | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 198.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 196.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 194$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 178.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…5831backed Over | 57c | 172.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 61c | 164.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 44c | 153.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…05d8backed Over | 8c | 151.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 22c | 135.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 125.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 103.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 53c | 95.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 94.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 55c | 79.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…dcedbacked Under | 47c | 79.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 57c | 76.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 59c | 67.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 53c | 61.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 44c | 52.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 45c | 35.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 34.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 59c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 37c | 33.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 55c | 18.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.