NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b9cf20201921bf21e707c74d8c492c20cf08e132c72e415ac0412747333ae12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 56c | 7,835$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.38 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 3,691$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,533$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…5b92backed Over | 52c | 2,119$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,796$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 23c | 1,452$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.72 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 44c | 1,384$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.9 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…79b5backed Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under | 44c | 908$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 44c | 796$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.74 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 46c | 493.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Under | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 22c | 245.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Under | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 68c | 121$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 35c | 115.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 102.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 40c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…0df7backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…e6acbacked Over | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Under | 37c | 51.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 38c | 51.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 49.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Under | 38c | 47.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 37c | 47.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 38c | 45.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 39c | 45.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 38c | 44.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 27c | 39.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfe…c458backed Under | 42c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…2757backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 65c | 32.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 32.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 78c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Under | 46c | 29.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 58c | 20.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…20debacked Over | 56c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.