TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62da…2fda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.95
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$45.9
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+93.9%+$55.42
Spread: Wizards (-1.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Suns: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.8%+$39.39
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+94%+$47.01
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$82.17
Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.4%+$42.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$46.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.