TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$480,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$520,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes42c148,224$62,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,253.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No58c70,133$40,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,455.813050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.922740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,600862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No58c16,396$9,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,886.519159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No58c14,673$8,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,162.841957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes42c14,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8801573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes42c12,669$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,321.145354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2844…a941backed Yes42c12,023$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No58c10,016$5,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,206.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No58c10,000$5,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.796553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c9,924$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,172.0231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No58c9,560$5,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.25040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No58c9,482$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.54447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes42c9,008$3,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.3212839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Yes43c7,442$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b1…b9d7backed No58c7,168$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+146.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes42c7,143$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c6,873$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.3687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No58c6,000$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+85.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No58c5,925$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.73450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed No58c5,726$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+129.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No58c5,187$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.543756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No57c4,780$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes60c4,000$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes67c3,382$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2513650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c3,159$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No51c3,141$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.294770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c3,116$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.7752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2607549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes42c2,405$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No58c2,295$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c2,259$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.771,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No58c2,217$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.2920150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes60c2,024$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.3337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No58c1,983$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.694170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No58c1,777$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c1,758$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.061,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No43c1,715$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+148.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No58c1,460$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.22835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No58c1,426$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c1,403$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c1,256$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No61c1,251$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6824642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked No58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c1,010$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.711735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No40c1,000$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.992142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c873.86$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.764365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes42c823$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3282138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed Yes43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes43c798.6$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c786.43$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes41c782.66$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.672846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1d…f7e4backed No58c770$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+105.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf75e…c325backed No58c730$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes43c719.04$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.193729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes27c703.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4053…91b9backed Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes43c692.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No37c683.86$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5418847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Yes60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c639.62$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked No58c606.07$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2583961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No58c599.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes39c582.59$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3511916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes62c579.03$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No58c550$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c536.68$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7712647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No57c526.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.252944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No80c514.8$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.96650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c8…8272backed No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002564%16 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No63c462.61$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No47c461.1$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No55c454.79$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.695328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5e…1244backed No57c399.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes61c327.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x812d…8f72backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.