TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8627…5382backed No74c20,000$14,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,740.98862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c9,660$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,231.871,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2844…a941backed Yes34c7,359$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,858.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No74c6,760$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.253767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes26c5,096$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.295354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c3,025$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.1187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c2,767$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.9238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes9c2,152$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed No59c2,058$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.09966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Yes26c1,873$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.523650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c1,493$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.8826660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes27c1,481$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.485135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes38c1,346$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.8148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No8c1,318$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.594122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes27c1,285$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.193138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c1,228$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.841,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,113$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.2252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes44c1,108$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1915048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes13c1,000$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes27c991$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.432133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes27c962.08$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.325328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…b132backed Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes27c740$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes26c721.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes27c651.85$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No66c610.34$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0317251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes27c518.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c500.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c471.36$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c428.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b22…677bbacked No27c399.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+121.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes27c369.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes27c296.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.165046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes27c264.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.423033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes65c211.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes27c211.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.113658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14612647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes67c198.56$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes52c193.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes26c192.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes27c190$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.72839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c182.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes27c149$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.774841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes43c146.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.512360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes73c145.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7388…2887backed No74c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…b817backed No73c139.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166c…93ecbacked Yes27c129.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.63714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c111$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…1805backed Yes27c111$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes27c110$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked No66c105.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.331361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.962564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Yes27c96.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4a…2881backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…0cbdbacked Yes61c84.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Yes27c77.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+171.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes45c75.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.584141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.079346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes27c74.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.06425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.253070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes20c70$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No74c67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581675%12 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes74c64.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.863151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No35c64.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c64.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…c8cebacked Yes46c63.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Yes77c58.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes27c58.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No66c57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.624330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6860…ef78backed Yes25c56.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+97.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.045261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5286…6dcbbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.213844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c51.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No65c49.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4918847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c49.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4820454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.69246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.