TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9d2…0cbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$31.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$53.83
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.47
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$140.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$17.38
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43%+$8.59
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.51
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.68
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.04
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.22
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94.03
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$27.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.6%+$22.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.5%+$13.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$194.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$56.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+301.3%+$340.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.1%+$23.11
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.69
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$32.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.