Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707c4b1cc0147e1294766339367d5569b679da106e549d60e1afcd6ff1823edb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 66c | 2,160$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.75 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 746.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 38c | 664$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 620$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 617.92$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 322.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 39c | 284.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 260.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 182.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 127$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 19c | 107.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked No | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 65c | 77.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…0cbdbacked No | 74c | 68.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 30c | 67.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…6b9ebacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 72c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.