TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes35c17,773$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,213.295543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9737641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c7,326$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.172,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c6,461$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.282,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c5,303$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.695,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No65c5,237$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes35c4,928$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.933360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c4,029$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.222,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes35c3,259$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206647%31 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c2,442$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.67,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No65c2,153$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes36c1,356$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.815371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No65c1,111$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.856541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No66c841.3$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.042277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes36c799.85$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.957352.1%38 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No65c649.6$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5413755.5%76 W · 61 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No65c640.48$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.171,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No63c587.87$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4644768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes34c550$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.511136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17567050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes28c470.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.384443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c462.43$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.281,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes31c325$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7514137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No68c320$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.43060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210345.6%47 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c300$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.511855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811343.4%49 W · 64 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc86f…4fb2backed Yes42c231.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No65c224$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.529058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes31c216.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675431.5%17 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752030%6 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes12c185.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Yes27c181.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No66c155.93$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked No65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c135$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2514257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes31c134.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2518743.9%82 W · 105 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes29c120.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed No65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes37c115.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.894040%16 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No65c115$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2510756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510345.6%47 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No65c92.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.478957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.510156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c78.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c28…fc1abacked No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…8975backed Yes32c75.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.259557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No65c72.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2615753.5%84 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206616.7%11 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No75c69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.292,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes36c61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No65c60.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1127856.1%156 W · 122 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010524.8%26 W · 79 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf0…003dbacked No65c57.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No67c55.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.96955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No65c51.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188665.1%56 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No58c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4218940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Yes36c50.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57957%45 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec5a…a319backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yes31c48.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.657045.7%32 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No64c46.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9212456.5%70 W · 54 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No58c44.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.836832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3de…3842backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114628.1%41 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes33c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7688…497dbacked Yes36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No64c34.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4311755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes36c33.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed No64c32.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.929955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No65c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.