TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x345d…4e41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
525
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT9267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.2
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.29
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.55
Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$28.64
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.89
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.53
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.48
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.46
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.83
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.54
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.43
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.52
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.23
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.43
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.4
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.06
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$15.69
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.56
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$38.65
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.09
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Team Novaq (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.59
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$54.58
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.46
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$16.88
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.69
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z (BO5) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Voca (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.38
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.02
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Voca (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.79
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$38.09
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.58
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Counter-Strike: 33 vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+400%+$55.98
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19.73
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Dbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+261.9%+$58.88
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$70.04
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$171.86
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.04
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$33.37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.92
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.96
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+486.7%+$207.71
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.22
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.28
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.23
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.93
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$30.67
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$16.14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$23.49
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$18.94
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$37.67
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.62
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.44
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$40.53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$133.14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+212.1%+$38.27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$48.21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.39
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VCU Rams (-3.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.07
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-9.5)backed Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.75
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+91.4%+$135.5
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$87.6
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+114.3%+$100.84
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.13
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+106.1%+$54.61
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.44
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.04
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.62
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.73
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.73
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-7.5)backed Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$56.65
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$131.25
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+87.5%+$60.55
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$172.05
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$64.82
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$96.95
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$135.93
Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.99
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.72
Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$23.23
Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$45.09
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72.67
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.99
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$43.24
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked FN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffsbacked Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
LoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group Abacked VARREL YOUTH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.18
LoL: Vantex Esports vs The Otter Side (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.51
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports (BO5) - NLC Playoffsbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group Bbacked New Meta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group Abacked Uwinks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs VARREL YOUTH (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group Bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.3%+$45.39
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.12
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.11
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.69
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.93
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+689.5%+$83.92
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+521.3%+$52.39
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$98.97
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$37.13
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.96
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Mir Gaming (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Mir Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.68
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$43.48
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Alter Ego (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Bbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Valorant: FUSION vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked FUSION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Valorant: Equipe Caos vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Abacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.99
Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.79
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Valorant: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.21
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.5%+$8.08
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - NAbacked Ghools Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$28.2
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.18
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.36
Valorant: Stallions Esports vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - MEbacked Stallions Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$30.32
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.03
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group Bbacked Otakar Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$34.21
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.1
Valorant: AlQadsiah Esports vs Mayhem (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - MEbacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.53
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs EVOPLAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked EVOPLAY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.17
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.01
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$159.81
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$56.99
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+83%+$49.37
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$65.2
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.51
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$24.37
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92%+$235.48
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$93.98
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$76.09
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+181%+$21.26
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$19.85
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.97
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.02
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.5%+$8.69
Will Trump say "Tariff" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.39
Will Trump say "Big Tech" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.27
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.35
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$131.46
Cole Palmer: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100.72
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.65
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.01
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$108.91
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$91.09
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$61.82
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$64.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$126.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+230.4%+$34.81
Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$116.23
Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96.94
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$51.96
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.4
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+300%+$153.54
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$94.26
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37.5%+$37.53
Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$88.15
Will SBV Excelsior vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$64.78
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$122.79
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$53.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$190.26
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.72
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$97.83
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$74.69
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$110.13
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.51
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$24.95
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$77.23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.82
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.65
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.23
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+171.9%+$125.2
Will CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+177.8%+$126.75
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$48.07
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$43.05
Will Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$43.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$8.25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$25.11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57.93
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55.68
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.93
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.88
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+475.4%+$149.73
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-61.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.44
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53%+$5.8
Will "Elon" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.35
Will "Alien" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.29
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+170.3%+$168.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.