NHL · resolved market
Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd863504ace8a3a34e261e7c1fa1d0119805746d2bec8a8db9f2aea006ff19909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 16c | 7,429$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.59 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 73c | 1,472$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.05 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 71c | 1,440$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.49 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 64c | 1,004$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 592.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 76c | 287.6$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 5c | 206.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 33c | 202.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 35c | 185.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 23c | 169.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Yes | 8c | 162.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…12afbacked Yes | 49c | 109.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes | 35c | 101.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed No | 76c | 64.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd681…4c5abacked Yes | 24c | 59.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 56.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 25c | 48.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked Yes | 27c | 46.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 71c | 38.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 66c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed No | 66c | 27.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 78c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…4878backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +439%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…9bd6backed Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 79c | 23.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…11e9backed No | 66c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Calgary Flames make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Wild make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Rangers make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.