TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x593a…cc48backed No0c17,080$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes55c5,576$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.8841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No50c4,516$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.099935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No41c3,605$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.0626136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed No31c1,746$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.821534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes70c1,602$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.771,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes43c1,068$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.969052.2%47 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No60c842$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.629160.4%55 W · 36 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No69c793.92$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.224942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No45c705.64$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3192,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No28c633.34$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.358339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes59c477.55$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No40c429.67$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.210336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No47c415$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Yes37c399.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed No58c299.73$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.161637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Yes49c274.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6634…a779backed No47c261.53$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.431520%3 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-65.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No21c256.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4822516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes68c238.46$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3611141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No23c225.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1976450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8721048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes52c192.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6615245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No48c190.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No48c189$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.069436.2%34 W · 60 L-13.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2db…236fbacked No38c178.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Yes60c171.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.663751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes42c169.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.863852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes51c165.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9127453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed No60c144.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.344540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed No41c137.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.812438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed No48c133.77$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9618931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…3ae3backed No49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…34fabacked No44c125.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No60c121.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.296414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c5e…37b3backed No18c111.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e00…c056backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No34c88.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No25c87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.754835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No30c71.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0574054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No39c69.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597a…5df0backed No55c67.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes79c61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8131448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Yes39c58.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.813749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515054%81 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No55c49.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3b42…cf90backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a6…f3ccbacked No37c47.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.622445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes41c43.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.379251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…74eabacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4255…6dd5backed No42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd83…c0c2backed Yes58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No57c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.949553.7%51 W · 44 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No40c36.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4560741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54f…4d47backed Yes43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-22.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No43c34.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517853.9%96 W · 82 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd681…4c5abacked Yes41c34.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes58c34.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a70…a50bbacked No48c34.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Yes58c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…c888backed No42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c0…dac7backed No42c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc484…4123backed Yes58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeac…4099backed No49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75b1…9b98backed Yes58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d2…b34bbacked No42c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No52c21.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No49c20.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.192441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2408…bc8abacked No68c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2570%0 W · 7 L-4.1wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.