NHL · resolved market
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98dbc4d64b0396c209bcc1700fdd08db6bce7e112e580a3752eb9283b6a8a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 30c | 1,932$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.89 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 1,312$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…37b3backed No | 14c | 744.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 71c | 738.38$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 58c | 558.31$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 52c | 408.08$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 47c | 294.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed No | 60c | 271.47$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…7e15backed No | 68c | 250.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 19c | 197.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 42c | 180.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Yes | 59c | 171.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 68c | 163.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 65c | 152.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 29c | 150.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 75c | 146.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…3ae3backed No | 36c | 125.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…7a82backed No | 66c | 95.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 38c | 87.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 42c | 85.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ca24backed No | 25c | 80.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 54c | 69.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e5…4dc4backed No | 19c | 63.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 52.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…e12bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 23c | 49.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 33c | 47.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…c0d4backed No | 27c | 45.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…fdb3backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…2539backed Yes | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed No | 80c | 33.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…32aabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6b54backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de1…1f55backed No | 63c | 23.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…3abdbacked Yes | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Yes | 61c | 21.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…bc8abacked No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Calgary Flames make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Wild make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Rangers make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.