TailMyPicks

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NHL · resolved market

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes1c110,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No34c2,292$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.7726136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,206$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2422516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes6c802.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c472.64$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.319935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No70c463$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f88…0111backed Yes42c419$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb89…38f3backed No39c318.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No79c306.51$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.341752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609160.4%55 W · 36 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609553.7%51 W · 44 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes52c264.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7811141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No19c259.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.516811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d29…3644backed Yes54c249.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes39c237.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.46414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No46c216.81$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes79c202.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No40c191.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4310336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No67c170.2$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd681…4c5abacked No25c162.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes49c161$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2845756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed No61c126.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.731560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No63c125.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.499251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes40c121.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.674942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No57c113.46$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.473852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked No19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8134032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Yes50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed No54c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes25c88.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.188339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…37f0backed No38c87.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.041942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2408…bc8abacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-4.1wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x928f…9a88backed Yes70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes27c70.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.051216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9a…73f3backed No25c60.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.37850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…3ae3backed No79c44.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes57c39.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.64136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No50c35.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0174054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b6…e6d9backed No70c29.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No73c25.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.851752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cff…3abdbacked No74c22.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.