TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f88…0111

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$290.28
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.26
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+136%+$273.65
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.96
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$473.99
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.46
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$88.27
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$14.63
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$42.41
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Edwardsville: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs Tristan Mccormickbacked Manel Lazaro Juncadella · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.42
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$29.12
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.35
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuanbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.57
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.35
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.01
Rome: Fiona Ferro vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Valentin Royerbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.49
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.57
ITF Monastir: Matilde Mariani vs Margaux Komanobacked Matilde Mariani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$52.91
ITF Olomouc: Laura Hietaranta vs Aneta Kucmovabacked Laura Hietaranta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.93
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.89
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+235.2%+$706.51
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.75
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.04
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$15.72
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$4.81
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.01
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$55.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$13.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzaniabacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$25.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$4.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.