Fifa International · resolved market
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82058477cc3af4be561d02ef984ebfa8581f56b07d1ed037829074cf1a0cd57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,392$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…3f4fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,700$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,569$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…a100backed Yes | 9c | 1,361$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 8c | 1,231$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 11c | 836.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…0111backed Yes | 15c | 802.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 630.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 3c | 598.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 584.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 547.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 448.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 357.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 76c | 290.61$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 10c | 290$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc10…33ccbacked Yes | 18c | 220.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…8cf1backed Yes | 7c | 163.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f200backed Yes | 26c | 153.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…aafebacked Yes | 15c | 138.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dda…8f5abacked Yes | 10c | 129.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 126$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…4478backed Yes | 20c | 123.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2b66backed Yes | 10c | 117.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…7002backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…610dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…cf53backed Yes | 21c | 56.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…4714backed Yes | 31c | 42.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 74c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 16.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.