TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x46ce…c842

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.99
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+341.4%+$905.14
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.99
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.14
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+411%+$336.22
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.83
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+297.5%+$45.21
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
Will Jordan Ott win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will Charles Lee win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.29
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.38
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.95
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.39
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$32.14
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.93
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,572.42
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.16
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+668.6%+$703.15
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.85
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.55
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.02
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.73
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.26
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.38
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.01
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.85
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.21
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.32
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.6
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.35
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.09
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.78
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$1,024.74
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+310.8%+$80.42
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+456.3%+$669.9
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,319.47
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.42
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.81
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.26
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.03
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.88
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,490.4
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.66
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.88
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.87
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.51
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.48
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.95
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.86
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.57
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$192.76
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.09
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.64
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+280.9%+$83.79
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,007.3%+$362.93
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$133.76
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$96.52
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50.59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$311.95
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$259.32
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.17
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$390.38
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.49
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.1
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.88
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.9%+$763.37
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.04
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.03
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.76
Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.16
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.13
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.83
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+253.4%+$1,085.2
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+921.8%+$127.08
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$25.54
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$574.9
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.35
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.95
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$215.26
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.38
Will West Indies reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$5.77
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90.67
Will New Zealand reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.18
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150.93
Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.87
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$74.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.55
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.53
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$86.74
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.44
Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.03
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.43
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.74
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.73
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$378.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.41
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.77
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.53
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick8cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$820.91
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.67
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.48
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,250.8%+$1,381.13
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+113%+$29.98
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$55.93
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$26.84
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.88
Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.44
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.72
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.05
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,541.59
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$11.24
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$138.78
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.58
Will Tottenham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-62.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$828.71
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+235.1%+$164.03
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.92
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$81.35
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$192.73
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-81%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+71%+$9.38
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.62
Will Puka Nacua win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.67
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$173.58
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-70.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+97.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.44
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.47
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+564.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+564.8%+$90.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+158%+$38.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.