NHL · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aad641add088a4802886fbe9c4f28647373465adecda684199ab0ed2ffe9eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 1,189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 12c | 943$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 12c | 813$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 780.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 12c | 767$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 12c | 737$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 12c | 699$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 8c | 626.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 12c | 619$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 11c | 586$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 12c | 555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 12c | 546$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 12c | 515$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed Yes | 3c | 505$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 12c | 480$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 395.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 12c | 378$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 7c | 342.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 12c | 241$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 11c | 234$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 6c | 209.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 14c | 177$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 172.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 12c | 163$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 9c | 159.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked Yes | 11c | 137.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 13c | 135.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.