TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb023…6d90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.32
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.88
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$82.74
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$173.43
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.1%+$137.52
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$133.8
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.2%+$35.15
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+106.8%+$42.34
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.92
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+566.7%+$93.5
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.87
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$630.33
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$124.96
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.92
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$691.5
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+270.4%+$136.51
Will One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$123.31
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$68.76
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.82
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$200.38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$373.5
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$265.84
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$190.05
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$258.32
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$206.46
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.24
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$185.87
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$45.08
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$84.49
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$150.5
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.91
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$255.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.87
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.72
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.08
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.64
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+346%+$292.48
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$529.25
Will Jensen Huang say "TSMC" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$160.92
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32.6%+$15.74
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$39.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.72
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$102
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+36.9%+$232.72
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$63.02
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$245.7
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$413.1
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$193.8
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$228.54
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.6
Will Starmer say "Military" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.53
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$79.56
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$119.56
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$251.73
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$286.5
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.68
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$89.88
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$312.12
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$71.07
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.34
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$144.71
Will "EoO - Bad Bunny" win Best Global Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$282
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+281.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$202.12
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$208
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+379.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)backed North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,285.68
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.3%+$30.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$176.7
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$91.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$97.74
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$244.57
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$996.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$590.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$172.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul walk out to Something Different by Why Don’t We?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$356
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.