AI · resolved market
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b57fcc38379096606a030b97fd99388a0ab0521db176b5093a4cb60a8bd29ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,357$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…e48fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,310$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,015$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.35 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…d609backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 49c | 931.13$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 53c | 721$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 77c | 697.03$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 44c | 642$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 36c | 472$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 56c | 434$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Yes | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 7c | 409.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 51c | 409.14$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 38c | 375$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 62c | 359$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 45c | 358$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 41c | 348$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed No | 51c | 347$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 65c | 340$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 339.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 49c | 331$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 51c | 327$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 59c | 321$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 44c | 319$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 35c | 315$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 59c | 309$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 46c | 307.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…77d1backed No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…a330backed Yes | 40c | 294.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 46c | 285.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 54c | 272$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 62c | 267$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 29c | 266.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 46c | 266$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 49c | 264$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed No | 57c | 257$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 63c | 254.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 48c | 251$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…3d5bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 10c | 221$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 55c | 217$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 43c | 212$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 44cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed No | 53c | 202$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked No | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed No | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 45c | 186.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 64c | 183$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 51c | 183$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked Yes | 42c | 182$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 58c | 177$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…ba4cbacked No | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 74c | 175.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 174.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 51c | 163$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 58c | 153$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed No | 52c | 147$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed Yes | 69c | 145.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes | 70c | 143.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 52c | 139.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 69c | 138.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 55c | 129$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 52c | 128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 125.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 36c | 120.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes | 39c | 118$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bffabacked Yes | 58c | 117.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 26c | 113.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 64c | 113$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…175fbacked No | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…f0bdbacked Yes | 71c | 111.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 47c | 105.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…49d8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 43c | 95.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…5d19backed No | 50c | 92.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 48c | 87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed No | 48c | 87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked No | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 58c | 81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 45c | 78.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 42c | 77.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?this page
- Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?No won
- Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?No won
- Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes won
- Will no acquisition occur by May 31 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.