TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes4c2,357$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.587611.8%9 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34d…e48fbacked Yes1c2,310$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes9c2,015$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3519011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7643…d609backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes49c931.13$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.533721.6%8 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed No53c721$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No77c697.03$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.389850%49 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes44c642$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes36c472$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.921650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed No56c434$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.962339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked Yes43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes7c409.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1511636.2%42 W · 74 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes51c409.14$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.511643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+166.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes38c375$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed No62c359$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.262040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes45c358$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.13336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed Yes41c348$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed No51c347$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.031050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked No65c340$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1191637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes5c339.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.35712.8%2 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked No49c331$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.691250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No51c327$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.232665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked No59c321$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.821650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes44c319$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.362045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes35c315$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked No59c309$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.011030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed Yes46c307.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.84911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3288…77d1backed No55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…a330backed Yes40c294.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes46c285.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.611060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes54c272$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.044619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked No62c267$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.461936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes29c266.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8318323%42 W · 141 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes46c266$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb407…a978backed Yes49c264$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4883…ce56backed No57c257$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes63c254.15$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes48c251$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7225…3d5bbacked Yes45c222.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked Yes10c221$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed No55c217$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes48c215$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked No43c212$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.91181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick44cpaid+98.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed Yes48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe43…af79backed No53c202$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac45…1dcfbacked No52c197$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes52c196$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd320…81a5backed No54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+74.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed Yes45c186.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No64c183$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed No51c183$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf049…29fdbacked Yes42c182$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed No58c177$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac89…ba4cbacked No57c176$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+81.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No74c175.88$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.139157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes21c174.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2725122.7%57 W · 194 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes49c174$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.261526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed Yes49c165$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.85825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc895…9bfabacked No51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed No58c153$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.262339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed No52c147$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…aec1backed Yes69c145.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed No52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes70c143.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes52c139.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No69c138.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.034052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed No48c138$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+84.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked No55c129$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.051758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes52c128$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.562737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No65c125.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6715452.6%81 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No52c123$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.041827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfa…3888backed Yes43c122$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42b…7577backed No57c122$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes41c121$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.612931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes36c120.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes39c118$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bffabacked Yes58c117.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1330%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed No65c114$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No26c113.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8610338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes64c113$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.12560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa232…175fbacked No49c112$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…f0bdbacked Yes71c111.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0f…af26backed Yes44c109$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed No64c108$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.881540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed No47c105.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.33145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d7…49d8backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes41c99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No43c95.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3628828.5%82 W · 206 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes57c94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ec…5d19backed No50c92.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.441040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes47c89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.831323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed No55c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked No48c87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d4…8cf7backed No48c87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…a23bbacked No61c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No58c81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.382334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes45c78.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9010…32a0backed Yes42c77.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.