TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b32…c8a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$173.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$252.2
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.09
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.23
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$358.8
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$558
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.25
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.84
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.95
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$165.71
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$419.24
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+212.5%+$367.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$169.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.45
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$32.98
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.6
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$272.32
Will Overtime with Bill Maher win Best Short-Form Program at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$69.56
Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.66
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$203.66
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.07
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.64
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.33
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$216.92
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+284.6%+$177.6
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.62
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.01
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$168.07
Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$186.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$225.08
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$295.85
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$234
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$426.87
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$297
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$178.2
Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$72.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.48
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$785.88
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+426.3%+$396.9
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.7
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.47
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.6%+$114.22
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$31.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.85
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.48
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$83.52
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$58.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+76.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$40.32
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$99.96
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+502.4%+$60.88
Will PPSO win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.44
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.86
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.32
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$102.48
All 7 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+130.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick32cpaid+276.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$483.28
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+426.3%+$345.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$45.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.