NBA · resolved market
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe538b3af4e8d0368cff984c05c06badcf1233c6c8074a36f0d6e2ba37f538444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 71c | 4,981$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.76 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 33c | 4,345$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.93 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 30c | 2,123$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 74c | 1,888$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 30c | 1,726$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 73c | 1,576$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 76c | 1,426$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed No | 22c | 1,395$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed No | 24c | 1,262$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 70c | 1,220$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 47c | 1,192$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 26c | 1,181$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.94 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 43c | 1,000$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 18c | 973$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 31c | 960$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 74c | 932$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 60c | 920.78$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.96 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 22c | 890$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 49c | 855.26$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.86 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 75c | 837$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 69c | 822$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 31c | 820$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 78c | 816$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 24c | 814$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 69c | 813$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed No | 31c | 772$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…c668backed Yes | 65c | 765.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 75c | 765$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked Yes | 78c | 765$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 31c | 762$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 76c | 752.49$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.62 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed Yes | 76c | 743$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 25c | 739$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 76c | 737$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +283.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 41c | 699.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 24c | 685$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 76c | 671$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 73c | 667$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 74c | 644$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 26c | 644$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 24c | 637$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed No | 31c | 634$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 76c | 630$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 74c | 619$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 30c | 607$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 24c | 589$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 76c | 585.99$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 69c | 583$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 22c | 581$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 76c | 580$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 78c | 575$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 18c | 560$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 78c | 541$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 18c | 535$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked No | 18c | 521$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 26c | 520$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 24c | 513$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 74c | 497$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked No | 24c | 496$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 25c | 489$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed No | 80c | 484.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed Yes | 79c | 474.19$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 79c | 470$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 18c | 462$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…08b3backed Yes | 68c | 441$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 18c | 437$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked No | 24c | 437$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 71c | 434$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 22c | 429$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 47c | 415$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…5504backed No | 23c | 409.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 76c | 404.38$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.33 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed No | 24c | 404$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 22c | 398$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 21c | 392$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 69c | 391.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 76c | 389$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…8e5cbacked No | 62c | 388.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 77c | 388$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 31c | 372$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 74c | 363.05$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 74c | 362.4$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 61c | 362.12$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked No | 31c | 358$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 25c | 356$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed No | 23c | 356$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 55c | 344.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 29c | 344$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 22c | 338$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 74c | 337$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…f815backed Yes | 69c | 337$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 26c | 333$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 26c | 330$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 74c | 330$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 46c | 329.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 26c | 318$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 74c | 317$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed Yes | 24c | 315.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 25c | 303$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 76c | 295$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.