TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,438 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes0c10,160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e56…33b3backed Yes1c1,621$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5962…de14backed Yes1c1,580$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe788…2c65backed Yes1c1,452$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes5c1,271$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…d431backed Yes15c1,226$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.382050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x672b…68d2backed Yes12c1,137$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c1,003$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.342,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes14c970$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes15c947$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.883033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes15c913$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.512548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes12c907$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.842437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Yes12c885$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed Yes19c853$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.071338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes14c756$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.842245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb64e…41c9backed Yes39c751.67$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Yes20c709$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed No80c694$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes14c690$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.663256.3%18 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+68.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c670$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.741,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked Yes12c663$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes10c650$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7641227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c649.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.860834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…5eafbacked Yes15c621$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ba…302bbacked Yes9c588.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.262540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5265…8184backed Yes15c577.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854932.7%16 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes15c532$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.82931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7635…9ae0backed Yes19c515$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.85119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes3c493$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes12c480$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.363243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf193…9838backed Yes21c478.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeee4…9964backed Yes13c447$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.861650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafea…230bbacked Yes15c434$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes14c419$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.661145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes14c419$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.662850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes14c412.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.032744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked Yes15c401$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.151844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x581a…0afbbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319c…4a94backed Yes15c392$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes18c391.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4722750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd77e…83a4backed Yes16c381$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c65…b3f6backed Yes13c379.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65fd…9497backed Yes9c379.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.781275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed Yes13c373$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.492339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Yes11c370.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed Yes17c365$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.051741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed Yes15c359$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No78c358.42$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0635049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes15c358$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.73043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c347.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9515010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c47…c146backed Yes15c341.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes13c327$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.512740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed Yes13c320$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+124.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes13c319$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.472236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…7a65backed Yes12c317$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes15c313.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0326048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes17c287.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.415158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Yes15c270$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.218755.6%104 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed No80c254$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.82552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes10c252$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.661,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes6c246.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.825715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No80c238$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes20c236$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked Yes15c231$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.652445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes15c227$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes16c224$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.843250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes19c223$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked No77c212.34$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.523148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes8c206$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.482548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c202.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes13c202$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.262339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203611.1%4 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed Yes18c196$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.282231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes13c193.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.123339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed Yes19c189$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.912445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Yes20c172$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes7c169$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832025%5 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes13c168$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.843246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes18c140.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.514454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8ad4backed Yes18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed Yes19c121$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.992955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes19c116$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.041741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes11c104.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.473935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3874…dd21backed Yes20c103$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes16c89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.242450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed Yes14c86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes20c84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes12c83.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed Yes17c78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1587…901abacked Yes19c73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed Yes16c67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes54c56.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104318.6%8 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a1…b93dbacked Yes22c49.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No44c48.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0218140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes45c45.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.365839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.