NBA · resolved market
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0222c4816290418a3cc270b019e452fc5ee84e7de288cc3fac90c785262350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,438 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 10,160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…33b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,621$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5962…de14backed Yes | 1c | 1,580$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 1,452$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 1,271$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 15c | 1,226$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed Yes | 12c | 1,137$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,003$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 14c | 970$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 15c | 947$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 15c | 913$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 12c | 907$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 12c | 885$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 19c | 853$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 14c | 756$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…41c9backed Yes | 39c | 751.67$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 20c | 709$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 80c | 694$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 14c | 690$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 670$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 12c | 663$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 10c | 650$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 649.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 15c | 621$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…302bbacked Yes | 9c | 588.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…8184backed Yes | 15c | 577.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 15c | 532$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed Yes | 19c | 515$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 493$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 12c | 480$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…9838backed Yes | 21c | 478.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 13c | 447$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 15c | 434$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 14c | 419$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 14c | 419$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 14c | 412.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 15c | 401$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…0afbbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 15c | 392$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 18c | 391.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 16c | 381$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…b3f6backed Yes | 13c | 379.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…9497backed Yes | 9c | 379.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 13c | 373$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Yes | 11c | 370.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 17c | 365$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 15c | 359$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 358.42$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 15c | 358$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 347.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…c146backed Yes | 15c | 341.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 13c | 327$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 13c | 320$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 13c | 319$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 12c | 317$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 313.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 17c | 287.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Yes | 15c | 270$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 80c | 254$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 10c | 252$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 6c | 246.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 80c | 238$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 20c | 236$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 15c | 231$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 15c | 227$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 16c | 224$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 19c | 223$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…b6aabacked No | 77c | 212.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 8c | 206$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 202.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 13c | 202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 18c | 196$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 13c | 193.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 19c | 189$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 20c | 172$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 13c | 168$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 18c | 140.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 19c | 121$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 11c | 104.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…dd21backed Yes | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed Yes | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 12c | 83.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked Yes | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 54c | 56.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…b93dbacked Yes | 22c | 49.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 44c | 48.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 45c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.