TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff74…24f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$27.78
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.68
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.97
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.64
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$336.6
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$752.94
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.67
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$381.98
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$173.06
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$119.49
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$87.36
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.55
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$103.95
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$38.25
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+455.6%+$79.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$13.24
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.6
Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$236.13
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134.19
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$249.08
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.83
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$360.08
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$129.85
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$16.64
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37%+$268.11
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+45.3%+$225.26
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$544.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$181.5
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$175.05
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.43
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110.39
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$147.99
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$336.09
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,066.53
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.86
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$139.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.36
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.96
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.26
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.72
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$203.32
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$302.64
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+150%+$178.2
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$72.72
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$28.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.18
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.94
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.48
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$91.2
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$204
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$191.59
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$220.72
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$81.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$70.14
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$579.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$56.68
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$306.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.12
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$175.28
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$655.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Acesbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$180.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$188.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$233.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$417.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.